Box EV
Which box is worth opening right now: 8 boxes scored on Sun, Jul 26, 2026 prices. Best today: Mega Dream ex at 222% of its sealed price.
Expected value is what a box is worth if you opened it and sold every card at market: expected pulls per rarity times the average price of that rarity in the set, plus the bulk. A box above 100% is worth more opened than sealed today. Below it, the sealed box is the better hold. Odds are community pull rates for Japanese product, not published figures, and are shown on every page so you can disagree with them.
- 1Mega Dream ex10 packs · sealed $113.00 · opened about $250222%Worth opening
- 2Inferno X30 packs · sealed $117.00 · opened about $237203%Worth opening
- 3Ninja Spinner30 packs · sealed $111.00 · opened about $189170%Worth opening
- 4Abyss Eye30 packs · sealed $121.00 · opened about $180149%Worth opening
- 5Mega Brave30 packs · sealed $120.00 · opened about $124103%Worth opening
- 6White Flare20 packs · sealed $124.00 · opened about $10585%Near even
- 7Munkyss Zero30 packs · sealed $110.00 · opened about $9284%Near even
- 8Black Bolt20 packs · sealed $124.00 · opened about $6653%Keep it sealed
9 boxes we do not score yet
- Pokémon Card 151The market prices we hold for this set’s chase cards look incomplete, so it is not scored.
- VSTAR UniverseOnly 38% of this set's hit cards carry a market price.
- Super Electric BreakerThe secret rares in this set are not graded in the catalogue yet, and they are most of a box’s value.
- Glory of Team RocketThe secret rares in this set are not graded in the catalogue yet, and they are most of a box’s value.
- Shiny Treasure exThe market prices we hold for this set’s chase cards look incomplete, so it is not scored.
- Heat Wave ArenaThe market prices we hold for this set’s chase cards look incomplete, so it is not scored.
- Terastal Festival exThe market prices we hold for this set’s chase cards look incomplete, so it is not scored.
- Mega SymphoniaThe market prices we hold for this set’s chase cards look incomplete, so it is not scored.
- Battle PartnersThe market prices we hold for this set’s chase cards look incomplete, so it is not scored.
The odds we assume
- 30 packs of 5
- 6 RR · 6.5 AR · 1.4 SR · 0.5 SAR · 0.25 UR · 1 ACE per box. Standard 30-pack box: about six ex, six or seven AR, one or two SR, an SAR in roughly every other box and a gold UR in roughly one box in four.
- 20 packs of 7
- 4 RR · 4.5 AR · 1 SR · 0.35 SAR · 0.15 UR · 0.7 ACE per box. 20-pack box of 7-card packs: the same slot structure as a 30-pack box, scaled to two thirds of the packs.
- 10 packs of 10
- 12 RR · 8 AR · 4 SR · 1.2 SAR · 0.4 UR per box. High-class 10-pack box: every pack carries guaranteed hits, so the numbers are higher and rougher than a standard box.
Grades are the catalogue’s: RR is ex, AR is art rare, SR is full art, SAR is special art rare, UR is gold. A set whose secret cards arrived ungraded is scored with one pooled secret slot, and a set with no usable prices is left off the board rather than scored on nothing. Dollar figures are Cardmarket European averages converted at EUR 1 = $1.1377 (ECB, 2026-07-24), not US market prices.